Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UND +1100 ORU -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -13.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -12.3 (+0.3) | 146.8 (+9.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -12.7 (+0.7) | 148.5 (+7.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -12.8 (+0.8) | 146.9 (+9.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -12.5 (+0.5) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 18-0 |
| Home | 8-8 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#302) | 9.8 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#315) | 1.92 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#300) | 2.33 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#336) | 0.603 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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