Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WIN +130 GWEB -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -2.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.3 (+0.3) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -1.9 (-0.1) | 134.1 (-10.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.4 (-0.6) | 136.6 (-12.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.0 (+0.0) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WIN 103 – 85 GWEB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WIN 88 – 77 GWEB |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIN 96 – 93 GWEB |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GWEB 89 – 83 WIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GWEB 65 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#275) | -0.4 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#263) | -0.85 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#274) | -0.92 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#259) | 0.452 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.