Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | PRES +333 LONG -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +2 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -8.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -8.4 (+6.4) | 131.8 (-17.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -9.3 (+7.3) | 128.2 (-14.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -8.1 (+6.1) | 131.7 (-17.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -8.1 (+6.1) | 132.4 (-18.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRES 72 – 65 LONG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LONG 77 – 70 PRES |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRES 77 – 68 LONG |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PRES 68 – 60 LONG |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LONG 81 – 73 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L18 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#330) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#355) | 0.17 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#348) | 0.08 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.341 (#363) | 0.508 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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