Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -300 FOR +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -8.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.0 (-13.0) | 142.3 (-19.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -4.3 (-11.3) | 140.7 (-17.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -5.7 (-12.7) | 143.6 (-20.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -6.1 (-13.1) | 142.1 (-19.1) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-4 | 18-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -1.2 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#103) | 0.52 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#112) | 0.30 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#98) | 0.511 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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