Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -700 DART +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +3 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -16.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+47.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -13.5 (-10.5) | 138.0 (+45.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -12.4 (-9.4) | 136.1 (+46.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -12.6 (-9.6) | 137.3 (+45.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -14.0 (-11.0) | 138.2 (+44.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#83) | -6.4 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#115) | -1.22 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#98) | -1.96 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#107) | 0.444 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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