Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | HARV +110 COR -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +6 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | COR -1.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+37.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -1.0 (+7.0) | 144.4 (+39.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -1.1 (+7.1) | 146.5 (+37.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -1.6 (+7.6) | 144.2 (+39.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -1.0 (+7.0) | 146.4 (+37.6) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#152) | 5.7 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#185) | 1.00 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#192) | 1.38 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#166) | 0.550 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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