Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +188 UNI -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -2.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.4 (-3.6) | 137.7 (+12.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -4.9 (-1.1) | 135.7 (+14.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -2.8 (-3.2) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -2.8 (-3.2) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNI 84 – 69 UIC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UIC 69 – 61 UNI |
| Dec 17, 2025 | UNI 60 – 54 UIC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNI 74 – 52 UIC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNI 83 – 56 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#296) | -0.7 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#270) | -0.27 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#270) | -0.13 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#282) | 0.487 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.