Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -700 AMER +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -8.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -8.5 (-7.5) | 138.6 (-15.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -10.1 (-9.1) | 136.3 (-13.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -7.1 (-6.1) | 144.8 (-21.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -7.3 (-6.3) | 144.0 (-21.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | AMER 70 – 66 COLG |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLG 64 – 62 AMER |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMER 72 – 62 COLG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMER 67 – 59 COLG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMER 81 – 77 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 11-4 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | -2.1 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#151) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#126) | -0.38 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.479 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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