Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -300 HC +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -9.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -5.6 (-12.6) | 134.5 (+18.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -6.6 (-13.6) | 133.9 (+19.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -6.0 (-13.0) | 134.8 (+18.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -5.4 (-12.4) | 134.4 (+18.6) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | HC 72 – 63 BUCK |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HC 65 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BUCK 94 – 81 HC |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BUCK 86 – 82 HC |
| Feb 22, 2024 | HC 73 – 59 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#262) | -10.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#317) | -2.10 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#315) | -2.46 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#323) | 0.394 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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