Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | VMI -110 CIT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +8 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -2.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-35.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -0.4 (-8.4) | 148.3 (-36.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -0.8 (-8.8) | 144.2 (-32.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -0.6 (-8.6) | 146.3 (-34.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -0.2 (-8.2) | 147.6 (-35.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#337) | -9.2 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#349) | -1.23 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#350) | -1.68 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#345) | 0.443 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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