Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +650 DETM -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +12 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -12.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -12.8 (+0.8) | 148.3 (+17.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -12.4 (+0.4) | 150.7 (+15.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -12.6 (+0.6) | 149.5 (+16.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -11.8 (-0.2) | 151.6 (+14.4) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DETM 80 – 77 IUIN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | DETM 92 – 78 IUIN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | IUIN 80 – 71 DETM |
| Jan 9, 2025 | IUIN 95 – 61 DETM |
| Feb 15, 2024 | DETM 81 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-11 |
| Home | 4-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -18.4 (#361) | -1.8 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#359) | -0.80 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.16 (#358) | -0.47 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.344 (#360) | 0.459 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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