Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -133 UCLA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +6 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -1.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-43.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -0.4 (+6.4) | 149.7 (-39.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -0.3 (+6.3) | 146.8 (-36.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -0.7 (+6.7) | 148.8 (-38.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -0.1 (+5.9) | 148.1 (-38.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 18-2 |
| Home | 15-2 | 17-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 60.7 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#11) | 19.6 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#14) | 3.10 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#27) | 3.85 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#11) | 0.645 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 25.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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