Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ +210 ALA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +21 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -7.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -7.7 (-13.3) | 162.5 (-13.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -6.6 (-14.4) | 161.9 (-12.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -6.9 (-14.1) | 160.6 (-11.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -8.2 (-12.8) | 161.4 (-12.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ALA 90 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MIZ 110 – 98 ALA |
| Jan 17, 2024 | ALA 93 – 75 MIZ |
| Mar 11, 2023 | ALA 72 – 61 MIZ |
| Jan 22, 2022 | ALA 86 – 76 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 16-3 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#58) | 19.7 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#33) | 3.75 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#41) | 4.46 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#37) | 0.678 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.