Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +240 STO -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -8.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -9.7 (+2.7) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -7.1 (+0.1) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -8.5 (+1.5) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -9.6 (+2.6) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 7-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -21.6 (#363) | -9.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.66 (#363) | -1.53 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.24 (#363) | -2.14 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#358) | 0.441 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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