Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -133 VCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -1.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.3 (-12.3) | 132.6 (+3.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.4 (-13.4) | 132.5 (+3.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.4 (-12.4) | 131.8 (+4.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.4 (-12.4) | 134.1 (+1.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | 5.6 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#147) | 1.33 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#120) | 1.23 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#121) | 0.577 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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