Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +700 IONA -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -14.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -12.9 (+4.9) | 142.4 (+17.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -12.6 (+4.6) | 140.3 (+19.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -13.5 (+5.5) | 141.8 (+18.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -12.8 (+4.8) | 141.8 (+18.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#329) | 8.4 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#323) | 0.86 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#331) | 1.34 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#311) | 0.561 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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