Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -400 MSM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -9.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -8.1 (+6.9) | 132.3 (-3.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.8 (+7.2) | 132.1 (-3.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -8.4 (+6.6) | 134.0 (-5.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -8.1 (+6.9) | 134.2 (-5.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SIE 63 – 58 MSM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SIE 67 – 50 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIE 82 – 68 MSM |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSM 68 – 61 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | -5.2 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#138) | -1.53 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | -1.79 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#130) | 0.416 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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