Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SC +188 MISS -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -7.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -6.3 (-5.7) | 132.6 (-4.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -6.1 (-5.9) | 131.3 (-3.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -6.5 (-5.5) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -6.8 (-5.2) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#300) | 4.6 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#181) | 0.42 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#217) | 1.04 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#200) | 0.536 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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