Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -188 MONT +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -3.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -2.7 (+4.3) | 143.5 (-22.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -3.4 (+3.6) | 141.7 (-20.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -2.7 (+4.3) | 145.1 (-24.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.2 (+3.8) | 145.4 (-24.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#153) | 1.2 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#142) | -0.23 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#148) | 0.03 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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