Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +320 MTST -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MTST -6.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -7.9 (+11.9) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -9.3 (+13.3) | 134.9 (+9.1) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -7.1 (+11.1) | 137.7 (+6.3) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -7.7 (+11.7) | 139.4 (+4.6) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 74 MTST |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MTST 73 – 66 IDHO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IDHO 92 – 89 MTST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MTST 75 – 60 IDHO |
| Jan 3, 2025 | IDHO 69 – 64 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#277) | 3.8 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#332) | 0.43 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#326) | 0.67 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#349) | 0.513 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.