Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -150 JKST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -4.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -1.7 (+0.3) | 144.5 (+21.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.9 (+0.1) | 144.8 (+21.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -1.3 (+0.7) | 142.0 (+24.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.6 (+0.4) | 142.1 (+23.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#305) | -8.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#345) | -1.35 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#351) | -2.34 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#318) | 0.430 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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