Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | UCR -333 CP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -11.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -8.8 (-3.8) | 130.6 (+30.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -8.9 (-3.9) | 128.8 (+32.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -8.9 (-3.9) | 131.4 (+29.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -9.2 (-4.2) | 131.5 (+29.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CP 94 – 87 UCR |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCR 88 – 84 CP |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 96 – 83 UCR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CP 112 – 100 UCR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCR 80 – 62 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-18 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 9-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#155) | -6.5 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#107) | -1.26 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#156) | -1.45 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.409 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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