Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +225 RICE -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +7 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -4.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -4.2 (-2.8) | 153.2 (+15.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.4 (-1.6) | 150.9 (+18.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.3 (-2.7) | 155.6 (+13.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.4 (-2.6) | 155.9 (+13.1) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#321) | -0.4 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#282) | 0.58 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#278) | 0.38 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#299) | 0.519 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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