Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | STO +110 FDU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +8 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -2.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -1.6 (-6.4) | 151.4 (-29.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -0.3 (-8.3) | 148.8 (-26.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.2 (-7.8) | 152.1 (-30.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -0.1 (-7.9) | 153.9 (-31.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | FDU 74 – 58 STO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STO 58 – 57 FDU |
| Mar 6, 2025 | FDU 71 – 56 STO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | FDU 82 – 69 STO |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FDU 65 – 54 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#316) | -7.0 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#299) | -0.97 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#309) | -1.32 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#270) | 0.444 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.