Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -115 LEH -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -0.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.0 (-3.0) | 134.8 (+9.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.7 (-3.3) | 133.9 (+10.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.4 (-2.6) | 134.8 (+9.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.0 (-3.0) | 135.8 (+8.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#341) | -6.5 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#315) | -0.42 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#321) | -0.59 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#315) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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