Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -450 SCST +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -13.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -10.0 (-5.0) | 153.4 (+21.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -10.2 (-5.2) | 154.3 (+20.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -10.7 (-5.7) | 152.0 (+23.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -10.7 (-5.7) | 151.9 (+23.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#234) | -13.0 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#221) | -1.42 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#275) | -2.18 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#183) | 0.423 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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