Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +210 AUB -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -4.7 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -1.6 (+13.6) | 134.5 (+5.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -4.2 (+16.2) | 134.2 (+5.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -2.5 (+14.5) | 134.2 (+5.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -2.4 (+14.4) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#132) | 11.2 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#97) | 2.25 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#95) | 2.76 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#110) | 0.639 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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