Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -600 SJSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -10.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -7.7 (-4.7) | 129.9 (+1.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -9.4 (-6.4) | 129.3 (+1.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -7.2 (-4.2) | 130.8 (+0.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -7.6 (-4.6) | 132.5 (-1.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#54) | 2.8 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#69) | 1.40 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#60) | 2.00 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#70) | 0.572 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 11.6% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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