Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -120 BGSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +26 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -3.0 (-29.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -1.0 (-27.0) | 155.6 (+0.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -0.4 (-26.4) | 154.0 (+2.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.1 (-27.1) | 156.0 (-0.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.0 (-27.0) | 155.0 (+1.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#297) | -5.8 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#312) | -1.04 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#306) | -1.57 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#329) | 0.422 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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