Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -1000 MINN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -16.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -12.8 (-9.8) | 131.9 (-8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -12.6 (-9.6) | 133.6 (-10.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.1 (-10.1) | 133.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -14.4 (-11.4) | 134.5 (-11.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-17 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#67) | -4.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#16) | -0.56 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#12) | -1.17 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#26) | 0.469 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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