Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | USM +115 LAM -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -6.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -5.0 (+1.0) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.0 (+1.0) | 134.8 (-0.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.0 (+0.0) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -4.3 (+0.3) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | USM 82 – 79 LAM |
| Dec 14, 2022 | USM 91 – 65 LAM |
| Dec 10, 2022 | USM 95 – 59 LAM |
| Nov 21, 2021 | USM 82 – 75 LAM |
| Dec 16, 2020 | USM 66 – 63 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#313) | 1.9 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#269) | -0.91 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#293) | -0.99 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#304) | 0.447 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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