Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -111 SIUE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -0.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.0 (+6.0) | 132.9 (+30.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.4 (+5.4) | 135.1 (+27.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.3 (+5.3) | 135.9 (+27.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.4 (+5.4) | 136.9 (+26.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#310) | -6.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#313) | -0.92 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#315) | -1.31 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#296) | 0.472 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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