Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ACU +333 GCU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -10.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -9.2 (+15.2) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -9.5 (+15.5) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -8.6 (+14.6) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -8.8 (+14.8) | 145.7 (+6.3) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | ACU 82 – 81 GCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GCU 88 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | GCU 74 – 64 ACU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | GCU 94 – 84 ACU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | GCU 75 – 73 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#255) | 9.2 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#235) | 2.40 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#232) | 2.82 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#251) | 0.606 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.