We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money CBU -125 / UVU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual UVU +23 115 Lost
Massey CBU -4.5 (-27.5)
Massey Totals 128.2 (-13.2)
Bradley-Terry 69%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -2.2 (-25.2) 130.5 (-15.5) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -2.6 (-25.6) 131.3 (-16.3) 63%
Baseline ML CBU -2.5 (-25.5) 131.9 (-16.9) 57%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -3.0 (-26.0) 133.9 (-18.9) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 6361 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 6546 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 7871 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 7366 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 7469 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UVU
Overall 16-17 16-16
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 11-7 10-4
Away 4-9 5-10
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.1 67.7
Avg Pts Against 67.1 69.0
Massey -0.2 (#163) -1.3 (#186)
Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#183) -0.28 (#198)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.03 (#166) -0.25 (#193)
RPI 0.474 (#219) 0.481 (#209)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UVU
FG% 41.2% 41.8%
3PT% 32.8% 27.7%
REB / G 36.8 35.2
OREB / G 12.4 9.8
AST / TO 0.96 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 46.2%
TOV% 16.8% 18.7%
ORB% 33.9% 26.9%
FT Rate 26.0% 27.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 18.7%
DRB% 75.4% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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