Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -175 LBSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -3.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -2.3 (-6.3) | 147.7 (+4.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -2.3 (-6.3) | 146.0 (+6.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -2.1 (-6.1) | 147.5 (+4.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -2.1 (-6.1) | 148.7 (+3.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCD 76 – 70 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UCD 71 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCD 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LBSU 84 – 73 UCD |
| Mar 17, 2024 | LBSU 74 – 70 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#161) | -0.4 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#165) | 0.26 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#172) | 0.21 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#188) | 0.505 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.