Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -350 SDAK +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +7 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -10.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -7.3 (-0.3) | 152.0 (+23.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -8.0 (-1.0) | 153.1 (+21.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -8.1 (-1.1) | 153.3 (+21.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -8.1 (-1.1) | 155.0 (+20.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 81.5 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#227) | -9.9 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#284) | -1.47 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#259) | -1.87 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#310) | 0.409 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 12.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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