Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -500 UNH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -8.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -9.3 (+6.7) | 135.1 (-11.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -6.9 (+9.1) | 135.6 (-11.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -7.9 (+8.1) | 136.4 (-12.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -8.1 (+7.9) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 7-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-4 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#95) | 0.24 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#96) | 0.00 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#67) | 0.521 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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