Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | NKU +138 WRST -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +7 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -0.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.5 (-8.5) | 155.2 (+7.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.9 (-8.9) | 159.1 (+3.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.5 (-7.5) | 157.2 (+5.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.1 (-8.1) | 155.9 (+7.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#193) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#219) | -0.15 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#209) | -0.14 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#198) | 0.514 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 53.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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