Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -110 WEB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +19 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -0.2 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.2 (-18.8) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -1.0 (-20.0) | 152.0 (-7.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.9 (-19.9) | 153.3 (-8.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -0.5 (-18.5) | 152.1 (-7.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#160) | 0.24 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#160) | 0.50 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#154) | 0.500 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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