Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -1200 PENN +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -11.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.1 (+5.9) | 138.7 (-6.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.8 (+4.2) | 142.7 (-10.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -10.6 (+5.4) | 140.6 (-8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -10.1 (+5.9) | 141.2 (-9.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | PENN 88 – 84 YALE |
| Feb 21, 2026 | YALE 74 – 70 PENN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | YALE 77 – 60 PENN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | YALE 72 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | YALE 90 – 61 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 3-11 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#91) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#72) | -0.78 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#77) | -0.67 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#42) | 0.462 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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