Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNCW -1400 CAM +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -16.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -12.3 (-9.3) | 138.3 (+12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -11.3 (-8.3) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -12.9 (-9.9) | 140.0 (+11.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -11.7 (-8.7) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#110) | -9.0 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#82) | -1.28 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#95) | -1.76 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#48) | 0.427 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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