Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -500 UNT +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -9.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -8.1 (-5.1) | 135.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -8.4 (-5.4) | 136.4 (-7.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -7.0 (-4.0) | 136.0 (-7.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -7.5 (-4.5) | 133.7 (-4.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNT 74 – 70 FAU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UNT 73 – 72 FAU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNT 71 – 61 FAU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNT 77 – 64 FAU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FAU 77 – 71 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#27) | 7.7 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#31) | 0.97 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#37) | 1.55 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#21) | 0.542 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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