Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -1000 CSUN +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -15.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -13.6 (-8.6) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -12.6 (-7.6) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -13.0 (-8.0) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -12.3 (-7.3) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UCI 93 – 78 CSUN |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCI 68 – 67 CSUN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCI 85 – 71 CSUN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CSUN 84 – 72 UCI |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCI 77 – 67 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-0 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#66) | -3.3 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#76) | -0.04 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#76) | -0.39 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#50) | 0.469 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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