Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -400 UND +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -13.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -10.2 (-20.2) | 138.3 (-0.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -9.7 (-19.7) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -10.3 (-20.3) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.8 (-19.8) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UND 67 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UND 81 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 85 – 69 UND |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#133) | -6.9 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#173) | -0.75 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#140) | -0.96 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#197) | 0.444 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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