Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -225 GASO +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -6.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -4.7 (-10.7) | 149.3 (-3.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -4.5 (-10.5) | 147.9 (-1.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.2 (-10.2) | 148.8 (-2.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.3 (-10.3) | 150.5 (-4.5) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GASO 88 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GASO 87 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GASO 93 – 86 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GASO 67 – 63 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#278) | -9.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#313) | -1.86 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#297) | -2.04 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#325) | 0.396 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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