Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -300 NEB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +37 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -4.4 (+32.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -3.9 (+33.1) | 148.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -5.0 (+32.0) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -4.4 (+32.6) | 144.4 (-3.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -3.4 (+33.6) | 146.0 (-5.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | NEB 58 – 56 MSU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | NEB 77 – 70 MSU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | MSU 80 – 67 NEB |
| Jan 4, 2023 | MSU 74 – 56 NEB |
| Jan 6, 2022 | MSU 79 – 67 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#43) | 12.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#36) | 2.55 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#43) | 4.10 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#29) | 0.623 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.