Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -1000 LAM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -13.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -11.5 (+7.5) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -12.4 (+6.6) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.9 (+6.1) | 148.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -13.8 (+5.2) | 149.3 (+7.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#82) | -3.0 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#32) | -0.79 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#33) | -0.93 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#52) | 0.439 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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