Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -500 HC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -15.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -10.6 (-13.6) | 143.5 (-8.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -10.6 (-13.6) | 143.3 (-8.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -10.2 (-13.2) | 142.0 (-7.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -10.1 (-13.1) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#254) | -15.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#337) | -3.01 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#321) | -4.15 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#312) | 0.362 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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