Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TNST -500 LIN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -10.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -9.2 (+5.8) | 140.9 (-5.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -7.8 (+7.2) | 139.6 (-4.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -8.5 (+6.5) | 139.6 (-4.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -8.1 (+6.9) | 144.5 (-9.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#267) | -12.1 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#290) | -1.83 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#265) | -2.47 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#301) | 0.404 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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