Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -110 GRAM +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -6.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -3.9 (-13.9) | 132.8 (+15.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -4.4 (-14.4) | 137.0 (+11.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.4 (-14.4) | 135.4 (+12.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -3.7 (-13.7) | 136.1 (+11.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#323) | -12.7 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#302) | -2.42 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#303) | -2.76 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#290) | 0.405 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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